Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)


	Reggina		Vibonese

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.85	6.5
	1.44	3.88	7.21	Watch
	1.41	3.82	7.65
	1.52	3.4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (2.29)	3.74 ↑ (3.48)	6.97 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
62.6%

Draw
24.3%

Vibonese
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.1%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggina's performance.

Vibonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vibonese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vibonese than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vibonese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Reggina - Vibonese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Edera S. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Mungo D. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Ferraro L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggina won 4.

Reggina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vibonese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Reggina is a strong favorite.

We predict that Reggina will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Reggina won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Reggina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Reggina	6	5	0	1	15:1	14	15
2	Vibonese	6	4	1	1	15:5	10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Reggina - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.56%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	Nissa - Reggina	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Reggina - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Reggina - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Paternò - Reggina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- Vibonese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
11.01.26	Vibonese - Enna	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Paternò - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Acireale - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Vibonese - Gela	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Vibonese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
21.09.25	Vibonese - Reggina	0:0
11.05.25	Reggina - Vibonese	2:0
30.03.25	Reggina - Vibonese	2:1
17.11.24	Vibonese - Reggina	0:1
12.05.24	Vibonese - Reggina	0:1
24.03.24	Vibonese - Reggina	1:0
12.11.23	Reggina - Vibonese	0:0

Reggina - Vibonese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide