Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 9

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 6h 58m 📅 Remind Me


	Castrumfavara		Reggina

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.00	1.44
	5.80	3.95	1.43
	5.60	4.08	1.43
	9.70	4.29	1.32	Watch
	5.45	4.00	1.39
	6.48	3.92	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.46 ↓ (6.58)	4.04 ↓ (4.08)	1.41 (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castrumfavara
13.9%

Draw
22.2%

Reggina
63.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.7%

22.2%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21.6%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrumfavara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the Serie D - Group I (Play Out: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group I Playoffs).

Recent results have been tough for Castrumfavara (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Reggina is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, Reggina enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Castrumfavara has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:9 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Castrumfavara against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:4 goals (averaging 1.5:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Reggina	8	6	1	1	18:3	15	19
14	Castrumfavara	8	2	1	5	8:10	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrumfavara
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.10.26	Trapani - Castrumfavara	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Castrumfavara - Igea Virtus Barcellona	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Castrumfavara - Avola	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Modica - Castrumfavara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL
- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.10.26	Nissa - Reggina	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Reggina - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Reggina	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.09.26	Reggina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Reggina - Castrumfavara	2:0
07.09.25	Castrumfavara - Reggina	2:1
27.04.25	Reggina - Castrumfavara	3:1
15.01.25	Castrumfavara - Reggina	1:3

Castrumfavara - Reggina