Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Oreste Granillo (Reggio Calabria)


	Reggina		Vigor Lamezia

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.50	8.41	Watch
	1.38	4	8
	1.32	4.3	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	4.27 ↓ (4.7)	8.54 ↓ (9.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
67.9%

Draw
21.4%

Vigor Lamezia
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

19.5%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

18.3%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Vigor Lamezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reggina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Reggina - Vigor Lamezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Reggina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vigor Lamezia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Reggina is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Reggina won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Reggina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie D - Group I
12.10.25	ACR Messina - Reggina	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.10.25	Reggina - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Reggina - Gelbison Cilento	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Vibonese - Reggina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLT
- Vigor Lamezia
Italian Serie D - Group I
12.10.25	Vigor Lamezia - Nissa	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Vigor Lamezia - Sambiase	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Vigor Lamezia - Enna	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Athletic Palermo - Vigor Lamezia	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Vigor Lamezia - Acireale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
07.02.16	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
11.03.15	Reggina - Vigor Lamezia	0:2
26.10.14	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	4:0

Reggina - Vigor Lamezia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide