Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP III - ROUND 16

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Rekord Bielsko-Biała		Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.6	5.75
				Watch
	1.44	4.98	4.52
	1.45	4.98	4.53
	1.38	4.55	6.35	Watch
	1.38	4.6	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.74 ↓ (4.75)	5.41 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
64.2%

Draw
19.1%

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

19.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

18.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Rekord Bielsko Biała - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rekord Bielsko-Biała won 1.

Rekord Bielsko-Biała is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Rekord Bielsko-Biała is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Rekord Bielsko-Biała to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rekord Bielsko-Biała won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Rekord Bielsko-Biała won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 3 - Group III
05.11.23	Górnik 2 Zabrze - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:3 ✺
28.10.23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Odra Bytom Odrzański - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:3 ✺
15.10.23	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Starowice Dolne - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- TS Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry
Polish Division 3 - Group III
04.11.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	0:1 ✺
28.10.23	Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Lechia Zielona Góra	1:3 ✺
15.10.23	Raków Częstochowa II - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Pniówek Pawłowice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group III
12.05.23	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:1
08.10.22	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	4:2
26.03.22	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	0:4
21.08.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:2
27.03.21	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:3
23.09.20	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry	1:1
19.10.19	Gwarek Tarnowskie Góry - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:0

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