Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 19

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Rekord Bielsko-Biała		Pogoń Tczew

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	6
	1.4	4.25	6.1
	1.4	4.51	5.61
	1.41	4.6	5.95	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.46	4.61	5.64
	1.8	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.8)	4.22 ↑ (3.35)	5.61 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
62.1%

Draw
21.6%

Pogoń Tczew
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

25.7%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rekord Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rekord Bielsko-Biała's performance.

Pogoń Tczew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogoń Tczew might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rekord Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rekord Bielsko-Biała that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Tczew than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogoń Tczew could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rekord Bielsko Biała - Pogoń Tczew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, ⚽,
82', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Bielsko-Biała is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Pogoń Tczew has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Bielsko-Biała is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bielsko-Biała won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bielsko-Biała won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraliga Women for now

Rekord Bielsko-Biala W: 0.83%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Rekord Bielsko-Biala W	7	1	3	3	8:16	-8	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rekord Bielsko-Biała Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
25.04.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - AP Gdańsk	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	UKS SMS Łódź - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:4 ✺
29.03.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Śląsk Wrocław	1:3 ✺
25.03.26	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Górnik Łęczna - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.3 WWLTW
- Pogoń Tczew
Polish Ekstraliga Women
25.04.26	Pogoń Tczew - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:8 ✺
04.04.26	AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Tczew	0:3 ✺
29.03.26	Pogoń Tczew - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	UKS SMS Łódź - Pogoń Tczew	3:3 ✺
14.03.26	Pogoń Tczew - Lech UAM Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.4 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.10.25	Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	0:0
18.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew	0:2
28.09.24	Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:1
09.03.24	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew	3:0
26.08.23	Pogoń Tczew - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:2

Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Pogoń Tczew: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide