Match Info

MOROCCO: BOTOLA 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 28 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri (Zemamra)


	Renaissance Zemamra		USM Oujda

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.5
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.96	2.9	3.6
	2.06	2.98	3.6	Watch
	1.93	3.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.62)	3.01 ↓ (3.17)	3.61 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Renaissance Zemamra
45.2%

Draw
29.9%

USM Oujda
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

28.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

27.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Renaissance Zemamra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Renaissance Zemamra's form might have worsened.

USM Oujda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Oujda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renaissance Zemamra than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Renaissance Zemamra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USM Oujda than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for USM Oujda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Renaissance Zemamra - USM Oujda Predictions

Users Predictions: Renaissance Zemamra will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Botola Pro and 9).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Renaissance Zemamra is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Renaissance Zemamra
Moroccan Botola 2
04.12.22	Widad Fez - Renaissance Zemamra	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Renaissance Zemamra - Rapide Oued Zem	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Salé - Renaissance Zemamra	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Renaissance Zemamra - Olympique Dcheira	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Chabab Atlas Khénifra - Renaissance Zemamra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTTLW
- USM Oujda
Moroccan Botola 2
02.12.22	USM Oujda - Raja de Beni Mellal	1:0 ✺
25.11.22	Chabab Massira - USM Oujda	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	USM Oujda - Chabab Benguérir	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	USM Oujda - Youssoufia Berrechid	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLT

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