Match Info

Botola 2 - Round 8

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Complexe sportif de Fès (Fès)


	Widad Fez		USM Oujda

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.55
	1.66	3.33	4.84
	1.81	3.42	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)	3.32 ↑ (2.88)	4.54 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Widad Fez
52.6%

Draw
27.4%

USM Oujda
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

31.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Widad Fez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Widad Fez's performance.

USM Oujda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Widad Fez than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Widad Fez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Oujda than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USM Oujda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Widad Fez - USM Oujda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Widad Fez will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Widad Fez won 2.

Widad Fez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

USM Oujda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Widad Fez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Widad Fez might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Widad Fez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Widad Fez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Widad Fez
Moroccan Botola 2
09.11.25	Raja de Beni Mellal - Widad Fez	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	KAC Kenitra - Widad Fez	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Widad Fez - Chabab Mohammedia	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem - Widad Fez	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Widad Fez - Widad Témara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLLL
- USM Oujda
Moroccan Botola 2
09.11.25	USM Oujda - Stade Marocain	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Chabab Benguérir - USM Oujda	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	USM Oujda - KAC Kenitra	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Raja de Beni Mellal - USM Oujda	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	USM Oujda - Chabab Mohammedia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Moroccan Botola 2
14.05.25	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	2:0
12.01.25	USM Oujda - Widad Fez	2:1
08.06.24	USM Oujda - Widad Fez	1:0
10.12.23	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	1:0
06.05.23	USM Oujda - Widad Fez	1:0
06.11.22	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	1:0
15.05.22	Widad Fez - USM Oujda	3:1

Widad Fez - USM Oujda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide