Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 17 June 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Resende		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	1.21	5.5	11
	1.18	5.25	15
	1.22	4.68	11.63
	1.19	6.1	12.5
	1.2	5.5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (2.13)	5.41 ↓ (5.5)	12.43 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resende
75.8%

Draw
16.8%

Noroeste
7.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

15%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Resende's performance.

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-34.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noroeste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+31.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noroeste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Resende - Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Resende is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Noroeste has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Resende is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Resende won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resende FC
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Athletic Club - Resende	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Resende - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Noroeste - Resende	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Resende - Nova Iguaçu	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
31.05.23	Cabofriense - Resende	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWWW
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Noroeste - Santo André	0:3 ✺
10.06.23	Santo André - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Noroeste - Resende	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Democrata GV - Noroeste	2:2 ✺
27.05.23	Athletic Club - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Noroeste - Resende	0:1

Resende - Noroeste

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Resende - Noroeste Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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