The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Resistencia 30.7%
Draw 28.7%
Deportivo Santaní 40.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
26.4%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.6%
26.3%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Resistencia's performance.
Deportivo Santaní has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Santaní might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resistencia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Santaní than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Santaní could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Resistencia - Deportivo Santaní Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 0 - 1, Villalba E. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+4', 0 - 2, Mereles J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', 1 - 2, Gonzalo M. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Copa de Primera (Apertura: )).
Recent results have been tough for Resistencia (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Deportivo Santaní has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Deportivo Santaní may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Deportivo Santaní is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Resistencia has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:11 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Resistencia against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:7 goals (averaging 1.7:2.3 per game).
Paraguay
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