Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Revilla		Naval Reinosa

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.85
	2.47	3.52	2.52
				Watch
	2.2	3.42	2.84
	2.15	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.16)	3.49 ↑ (3.48)	2.77 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Revilla
40.7%

Draw
26.2%

Naval Reinosa
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

26.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

25.2%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Revilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Naval Reinosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Revilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naval Reinosa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 0 - 3, ⚽,
56', 1 - 3, ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, ⚽,
87', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Revilla is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Naval Reinosa is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Revilla won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Revilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Revilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
17.04.25	Atlético Mineros Reocín - Revilla	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Revilla - Cayón	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Bezana - Revilla	4:1 ✺
29.03.25	Revilla - Monte	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Revilla - Colindres	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLTW
- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
18.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Colindres	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Castro - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Siete Villas	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atlético Albericia - Naval Reinosa	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Vimenor - Naval Reinosa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
15.12.24	Naval Reinosa - Revilla	0:1
01.05.24	Naval Reinosa - Revilla	0:1
07.01.24	Revilla - Naval Reinosa	2:0
19.03.23	Naval Reinosa - Revilla	0:1
19.11.22	Revilla - Naval Reinosa	1:4

Revilla - Naval Reinosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide