Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 9

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Ribeira Brava (Ribeira Brava)


	Ribeira Brava		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.15	1.8
	4.37	3.42	1.7
	3.69	3.33	1.92	Watch
	4.37	3.64	1.74
	2.71	3.2	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (2.76)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)	1.9 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ribeira Brava
23.9%

Draw
27.5%

Tirsense
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.3%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ribeira Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ribeira Brava's form might have worsened.

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tirsense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ribeira Brava than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ribeira Brava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tirsense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ribeira Brava - Tirsense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation)

Ribeira Brava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tirsense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ribeira Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ribeira Brava
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Chaves B - Ribeira Brava	3:0 ✺
19.10.25	Desportivo Monção - Ribeira Brava	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Ribeira Brava - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Ribeira Brava - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ribeira Brava - Bragança	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LTTWW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Tirsense - Celoricense	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Vilaverdense - Tirsense	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Tirsense - Camacha	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Machico - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Tirsense - Brito	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLTTL

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