Match Info

Carling Knockout - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: King Zwelithini Stadium (Durban)


	Richards Bay		Chippa United

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.2	3.7
	1.93	3.1	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.98)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Richards Bay
46.3%

Draw
28.8%

Chippa United
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.7%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Chippa United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richards Bay than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippa United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Otieno I. (G) 9. Bomelo N. 22. Mabuya L. 12. Mangolo B. K. 25. Mcineka S. 20. Mthembu M. 6. Mthethwa T. (C) 18. Mutizwa K. 33. Ngema W. 19. Nzama S. 8. Zuke T.	23. Nwabali S. (C) 7. Eva Nga B. 4. Fasika I. 9. Figuareido J. 24. Kammies S. 25. Konqobe A. 27. Modise M. 20. Mosele G. 5. Ndlovu S. 17. Philander G. 15. Tshobeni A.
Substitutes
77. Khumalo L. 14. Mahala L. 80. Mdluli S. 47. Mntungwa S. 11. Mtshali S. (G) 43. Nomvete B. 34. Thikazi M. 26. Vilakazi H. 36. Zikhali L.	26. Dlamini B. 11. Hlophe B. 28. Madingwane B. 8. Mfecane K. 30. Molaoa T. 32. Msibi D. (G) 45. Ntsundwana S. 21. Seabi S. 3. Sithole X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Bomelo N. ⚽, Nzama S. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Mutizwa K. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Tshobeni A. ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Mutizwa K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 4 - 1, Mahala L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Richards Bay won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chippa United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Richards Bay could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Richards Bay won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Richards Bay won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Richards Bay FC
South African Premier Soccer League
27.09.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	4:1 ✺
24.09.25	Richards Bay - Magesi	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Stellenbosch - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Richards Bay - TS Galaxy	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Siwelele - Richards Bay	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 LWWTT
- Chippa United
South African Premier Soccer League
28.09.25	Chippa United - Stellenbosch	0:0 ✺
24.09.25	Sekhukhune United - Chippa United	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Polokwane City - Chippa United	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Chippa United - Orbit College	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chippa United - Orlando Pirates	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
26.08.25	Richards Bay - Chippa United	1:0
01.03.25	Richards Bay - Chippa United	0:0
21.09.24	Chippa United - Richards Bay	1:0
06.03.24	Chippa United - Richards Bay	3:0
19.09.23	Richards Bay - Chippa United	1:2
03.05.23	Richards Bay - Chippa United	2:3
30.10.22	Chippa United - Richards Bay	3:3

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