Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 9

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 2
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport PSL


	Mamelodi Sundowns		Richards Bay

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.75	11.5
	1.26	5	15.08
	1.38	4.17	8.53	Watch
	1.27	4.5	13.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.28)	4.61 ↓ (4.63)	12.2 ↑ (12.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mamelodi Sundowns
72.1%

Draw
20.2%

Richards Bay
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

20%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Richards Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Williams R. (C) 25. Mudau K. 42. Khoza M. 15. Aubaas B. J. 6. Modiba A. 11. Allende M. 5. Lebusa M. 9. Arthur Sales 10. Santos N. 17. Matthews T. 13. Rayners I.	1. Otieno I. (G) 26. Vilakazi H. 25. Mcineka S. (C) 8. Zuke T. 47. Mntungwa S. 6. Mthethwa T. 33. Ngema W. 20. Mthembu M. 36. Zikhali L. 19. Nzama S. 7. Mhango G.
Substitutes
8. Adams J. 23. Basadien F. 37. Johannes K. 33. Maseko T. 21. Mkhulise S. 46. Mokoena B. 4. Mokoena T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 38. Shalulile P.	9. Bomelo N. 77. Khumalo L. 22. Mabuya L. 12. Mangolo B. K. 32. Mtshali L. 11. Mtshali S. (G) 43. Nomvete B. 34. Thikazi M.
Coaches
Cardoso M.	Zothwane P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Matthews T. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Khoza M. ⚽,
30', 2 - 1, Mhango G. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Rayners I. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Ngema W. ↓, Mabuya L. ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Matthews T. ⚽,
67', Arthur Sales ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
68', Matthews T. ↓, Mokoena B. ↑,
68', Mthembu M. 🟨,
73', Modiba A. ↓, Basadien F. ↑,
73', Santos N. ↓, Mkhulise S. ↑,
79', Mthembu M. ↓, Mtshali L. ↑,
80', Nzama S. ↓, Thikazi M. ↑,
80', Zikhali L. ↓, Khumalo L. ↑,
80', Rayners I. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
90+1', Mhango G. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the clear favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:2. (average 2.3:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.28 are the expected chance of winning is 72.3%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
24.09.25	Lamontville Golden Arrows - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Durban City	3:1 ✺
17.09.25	Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Magesi	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWW
- Richards Bay FC
South African Premier Soccer League
24.09.25	Richards Bay - Magesi	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Stellenbosch - Richards Bay	0:1 ✺
17.09.25	Richards Bay - TS Galaxy	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Siwelele - Richards Bay	0:0 ✺
26.08.25	Richards Bay - Chippa United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

South African MTN 8 Cup
03.08.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	4:0
South African Premier Soccer League
30.04.25	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	3:0
28.12.24	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
02.04.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	1:0
23.08.23	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1
25.04.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	1:0
South African Nedbank Cup
07.02.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Richards Bay	3:2

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