Match Info

Regionalliga Central - Round 27

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday


	Ried II		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
	3	3.75	1.93
	5	4.5	1.47
	5.57	4.57	1.45
	5.4	4.61	1.46	Watch
	5.18	4.49	1.5
	5	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (3.15)	4.4 ↑ (3.8)	1.55 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ried II
19.1%

Draw
21%

SPG Wels
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

24%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

23.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ried II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ried II's form might have worsened.

SPG Wels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPG Wels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried II than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ried II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPG Wels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ried II - SPG Wels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried II won 0.

Recent performances by Ried II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

SPG Wels is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

SPG Wels may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

SPG Wels is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ried II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ried II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Ried II
Austrian Regionalliga Central
10.05.25	Union Vöcklamarkt - Ried II	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Ried II - Wallern-Marienkirchen	3:0 ✺
17.04.25	Gleisdorf - Ried II	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Union Gurten - Ried II	3:1 ✺
29.03.25	Ried II - SV Wildon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- SPG Wels
Austrian Regionalliga Central
09.05.25	SPG Wels - Vorwärts Steyr	3:1 ✺
30.04.25	Gleisdorf - SPG Wels	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	SPG Wels - LASK II	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Union Gurten - SPG Wels	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Leoben - SPG Wels	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga Central
18.10.24	SPG Wels - Ried II	4:1
19.04.24	SPG Wels - Ried II	5:0
15.09.23	Ried II - SPG Wels	0:1
18.04.23	SPG Wels - Ried II	2:0
01.04.22	Ried II - SPG Wels	1:1
25.09.20	SPG Wels - Ried II	1:2
30.08.19	SPG Wels - Ried II	1:1

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