Match Info

2. Liga - Round 30

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: NV Arena (Sankt Pölten)

Referee: Schnur J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF On, ORF Sport+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	St. Pölten		SPG Wels

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.95	6.7
	1.39	5.06	7.42
	1.33	5.74	7.2	Watch
	1.36	4.33	6.5
	1.41	4.79	6.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)	4.97 ↑ (4.05)	6.88 ↑ (5.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pölten
67.8%

Draw
18.7%

SPG Wels
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

22.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pölten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Pölten's performance.

SPG Wels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pölten than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pölten that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SPG Wels than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

St. Pölten - SPG Wels Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. St. Pölten will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). SPG Wels will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pölten: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Knett C. (G) 18. Altersberger T. 15. Skogen S. 5. Buchegger L. 2. Thesker S. (C) 10. Stendera M. 8. Messerer C. 23. Carlson D. 33. Ferstl V. 11. Hausjell M. 7. Amoah W.	44. Schrocker K. (G) 4. Feyrer S. (C) 5. Keckeisen N. 14. Tischler L. 12. Brugger M. 22. Conte K. 61. Sahin T. 77. Thurnwald M. 7. Svec M. 9. Gashi A. 20. Malinowski S.
Substitutes
77. Barlov D. 26. Borkovic A. 70. Djuricin M. 9. Gschweidl B. 21. Kleinbruckner M. 32. Kurz M. (G) 97. Perovic F.	33. Bosnjak A. 11. Ceri S. 42. Lechner F. 6. Muller P. 8. Radics A. 17. Steinmann R. 70. Szakal S. (G)
Coaches
Sekerlioglu C.	Heinle C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Brugger M. ↓, Muller P. ↑,
64', Ferstl V. ↓, Gschweidl B. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Stendera M. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Svec M. ↓, Radics A. ↑,
78', Feyrer S. ↓, Lechner F. ↑,
83', Tischler L. 🟨,
84', Hausjell M. ↓, Djuricin M. ↑,
88', Buchegger L. ↓, Borkovic A. ↑,
90', Sahin T. ↓, Bosnjak A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 10).

Recent performances by St. Pölten have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SPG Wels is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, St. Pölten is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. Pölten won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	St. Polten	7	3	0	4	6:6	0	9
15	Hertha Wels	7	1	1	5	8:17	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SKN St. Pölten
Austrian 2 Liga
08.05.26	Kapfenberger SV - St. Pölten	0:3 ✺
02.05.26	St. Pölten - Admira	0:0 ✺
24.04.26	Floridsdorfer AC - St. Pölten	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	St. Pölten - Liefering	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Austria Lustenau - St. Pölten	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTTTL
- SPG Wels
Austrian 2 Liga
08.05.26	SPG Wels - Sturm Graz B	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	First Vienna - SPG Wels	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Bregenz - SPG Wels	2:3 ✺
10.04.26	Rapid Wien II - SPG Wels	1:4 ✺
06.04.26	SPG Wels - Austria Salzburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
28.11.25	SPG Wels - St. Pölten	1:1
Austrian OFB Cup
26.08.25	SPG Wels - St. Pölten	2:3 penalties

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