Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Skonto stadions (Riga) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)


	Riga		Kecskemeti

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.5	Watch
	1.66	3.6	4.6	Watch
	1.67	3.6	5.1
	1.7	3.6	4.75
	1.7	3.58	5.05
	1.67	3.8	5.05
	1.72	3.85	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)	3.69 ↑ (3.38)	4.86 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga
55.5%

Draw
25.3%

Kecskemeti
19.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga's performance.

Kecskemeti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kecskemeti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	1.3%	5.1%

Riga - Kecskemeti Predictions

Users Predictions: Riga will win (74 of 79 users predict this - 93.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.3% – 99.04%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Purins T. N. (G) 21. Musah B. 34. Cernomordijs A. 15. Bosancic P. 25. Muzinga N. 14. Babec H. 10. Aurelio D. 77. Mankenda G. 8. Jojic M. (C) 19. Taiwo A. 18. Regza M.	20. Varga B. (G) 57. Iyinbor P. 18. Belenyesi C. 12. Szalai G. 9. Majer M. 31. Kiss B. 16. Vago L. (C) 29. Szuhodovszki S. 21. Matheus 22. Toth B. 7. Palinkas G.
Substitutes
9. Contreras A. 23. Daskevics E. 13. Jurkovskis R. 3. Kacanovs G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 44. Melniks D. 93. Nguena K. 30. Pena B. 11. Soisalo M. 12. Zommers K. (G)	17. Bodor Z. 1. Fadgyas T. (G) 4. Grunwald A. 6. Katona L. 46. Kersak R. (G) 23. Meskhi M. 10. Nagy K. 25. Nagy O. 15. Szabo A. 99. Szendrei A. 26. Szucs K.
Coaches
Stipic T.	Szabo I.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Recent matches Riga is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kecskeme'ti is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Riga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Riga have a series of guest games.

In this match Riga is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Riga won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
30.07.23	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Kecskemeti - Riga	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
23.07.23	Tukums 2000 - Riga	0:6 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Vikingur Reykjavik - Riga	1:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.07.23	PPK Betsafe - Riga	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLW
- Kecskemeti TE
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Kecskemeti - Riga	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.23	Kecskemeti - Ajka	5:1 ✺
08.07.23	Varaždin - Kecskemeti	2:1 ✺
05.07.23	Aluminij Kidricevo - Kecskemeti	1:2 ✺
01.07.23	Tiszakécske - Kecskemeti	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Kecskemeti - Riga	2:1

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