Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.55	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.45
	2.8	3.15	2.5
	2.8	3.2	2.5
	2.7	3.09	2.4
	2.8	3.35	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.6)	3.25 (3.25)	2.51 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
34.4%

Draw
28.6%

Riga
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.3%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	53.3%	26.7%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Vikingur will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Riga will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson I. (G) 24. Atlason D. 4. Ekroth O. 6. Vatnhamar G. 18. Ingason B. 27. Vilhjalmsson M. 10. Punyed P. 3. Tomasson L. 7. Agnarsson E. 19. Djuric D. 23. Hansen N. (C)	16. Purins T. N. (G) 13. Jurkovskis R. 34. Cernomordijs A. 15. Bosancic P. 25. Muzinga N. 14. Babec H. 8. Jojic M. (C) 11. Soisalo M. 18. Regza M. 10. Aurelio D. 30. Pena B.
Substitutes
8. Andrason V. 15. Gudjohnsen A. 9. Gudjonsson H. 22. Gunnarsson K. 16. Ingason T. (G) 2. Jonsson D. 25. Magnusson H. 14. Matthiasson H. 12. Sigurdsson H. 17. Sigurpalsson A. 11. Thordarson G. 30. Tjorvason J.	23. Daskevics E. 33. Iljins K. 37. Kara 77. Mankenda G. 1. Matrevics R. (G) 21. Musah B. 93. Nguena K. 95. Rangel 12. Zommers K. (G)
Coaches
Gunnlaugsson A.	Stipic T.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Vikingur is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Riga is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vikingur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Riga have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vikingur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Riga - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.07.23	Keflavík - Vikingur Reykjavik	3:3 ✺
29.06.23	Fylkir - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
24.06.23	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Vikingur Reykjavik - Fram	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWW
- Riga FC
Latvian Cup
16.07.23	PPK Betsafe - Riga	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Riga - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
08.07.23	Riga - Auda Riga	1:0 ✺
04.07.23	Riga - Liepāja	3:1 ✺
30.06.23	Riga - RFS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Riga - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:0

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