Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 4

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Mosta		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.08	Watch
	3.32	3.29	2.10	Watch
	3.22	3.33	2.13
	3.2	3.35	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.63)	3.31 ↑ (3.21)	2.11 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosta
28.6%

Draw
27.8%

Paola Hibernians
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.6%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mosta's form might have worsened.

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paola Hibernians's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mosta - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hibernians will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernians (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius 3. Bolanos M. 9. Daniel GTA 8. Eke C. 26. Emmanuel P. 10. Giancarlo 14. Joao Victor 96. Leo Fernandes 16. Sciberras G. (C) 74. Vassallo J.	31. Haber J. (G) 4. Alfred S. 22. Bonnici D. 96. Charleston 13. Joao Teixeira 11. Kristensen B. (C) 70. Lima M. 9. Miullen 44. Pedrao 41. Pedro Cacho 7. Villela L.
Substitutes
2. Agius A. 20. Caruana R. 11. Chibuike C. 19. Debono R. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 4. Farrugia K. 23. Hurtado Q. 13. Luke U. 30. Okereke C. 7. Scerri J.	19. Abela L. 8. Attard A. 24. Camilleri C. (G) 6. Caruana L. 27. Cleiton 23. Ellul M. 20. Muscat D. 18. Pablo Alves 30. Sacco H. (G) 14. Xuereb D. 16. Zammit A.
Coaches
Grech J.	Nisevic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Pedrao 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Bonnici D. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Daniel GTA (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Cleiton ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Emmanuel P. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2.

Hibernians's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hibernians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:42. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.8:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
13.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Mosta	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Sliema Wanderers - Mosta	0:1 ✺
17.08.25	Marsaxlokk - Mosta	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Mosta - Gżira United	1:0 ✺
11.07.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWLWW
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
13.09.25	Paola Hibernians - Birkirkara	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians	2:2 ✺
18.08.25	Paola Hibernians - Gżira United	5:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Spartak Trnava - Paola Hibernians	5:1 ✺
24.07.25	Paola Hibernians - Spartak Trnava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
23.02.25	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	2:0
07.12.24	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	3:2
19.10.24	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	1:0
21.04.24	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	3:1
17.12.23	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	0:0
21.01.23	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	2:0
04.09.22	Mosta - Paola Hibernians	0:5

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