The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mosta 29.7%
Draw 27%
Paola Hibernians 43.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.6%
25.6%
45.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
24.6%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Mosta - Paola Hibernians Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Udoh A. (G) 66. Acheampong G. 20. Afriyie P. 30. Cross N. 26. Ezejiofor O. 6. Frendo N. 10. Giancarlo (C) 7. Portelli N. 93. Thiaguinho 4. Ugwu E. 8. Ukpa H.
45. Cardinali M. (G) 4. Alfred S. 47. El Fanis M. 11. Kristensen B. (C) 24. Lacunza L. 7. Mbong J. 28. Roe J. 3. Romling M. 5. Shaw K. 34. Sobczyk A. 14. Xuereb D.
Substitutes
14. Agyiri E. 15. Attard L. 16. Chetcuti L. 19. Debono R. 13. Ebere E. 18. Farrugia A. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 29. Oderinde C. 9. Ohaka P. 94. Vassallo S.
19. Abela L. 21. Agius 17. Chukunyere I. 10. Degabriele J. 77. Druga B. 23. Ellul M. 88. Khevin Fraga 18. Matos 1. Sanchez P. (G) 8. Wahling J. 16. Zammit A.
Coaches
Grech J.
Tanrivermis T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Giancarlo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Xuereb D. ↓, Chukunyere I. ↑,
63', Roe J. ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
63', Sobczyk A. ↓, Druga B. ↑,
65', Ezejiofor O. 🟨,
67', 1 - 1, Romling M. ⚽,
73', Ukpa H. ↓, Ebere E. ↑,
73', Ezejiofor O. ↓, Oderinde C. ↑,
78', 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Matos ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Thiaguinho ⚽,
83', Alfred S. ↓, Khevin Fraga ↑,
84', Portelli N. ↓, Ohaka P. ↑,
86', Acheampong G. ↓, Debono R. ↑,
88', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: ) and 8th in the Premier League (First stage - Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 1.
Mosta is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Hibernians has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Hibernians could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hibernians holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mosta has recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:38 (averaging 0.9:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mosta against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 10:19 goals (averaging 1.1:2.1 per game).
Watch
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Udoh A. (G) 
Acheampong G. 
Cross N. 
Ezejiofor O. 
Giancarlo (C) 
Cardinali M. (G) 
El Fanis M. 
Lacunza L. 
Romling M. 
Sobczyk A. 
Druga B. 
Sanchez P. (G) 
Tanrivermis T. 
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