Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 22

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Riga 2		Olaine

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.1
	1.55	4.25	4.25
				Watch
	1.55	4.2	4.65
	1.52	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (2.2)	4.16 ↑ (3.7)	4.44 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riga 2
58%

Draw
21.7%

Olaine
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

24.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

25.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riga 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Riga 2's performance.

Olaine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olaine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riga 2 than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Riga 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olaine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Riga 2 - Olaine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kazainis M. (G) 2. Blazevics J. 15. Girgens F. 14. Ibrahim H. 17. Johnson K. 22. Lanskis L. 10. Parkhomenko M. 11. Pena B. 8. Sarma T. 5. Sindlers L. (C) 19. Wassom K.	1. Balodis P. (G) 3. Aivars E. 22. Artjomovs K. 16. Berzins N. 9. Cernovs K. 77. Moskalovs A. 8. Pantelejevs K. 23. Pavlenko E. 18. Ruja K. (C) 21. Strelcovs I. 6. Zemlinskis A.
Substitutes
18. Fedosejevs N. 21. Galajevs I. 20. Kalinovs D. 13. Liakhov K. 9. Nazarovs D. 7. Ozolins R. 12. Poskrjobisevs J. 16. Svans K. (G) 3. Zemitis R.	30. Andrejevs A. 35. Antipenkovs I. (G) 4. Butlers R. 75. Gegers E. 10. Hartmanis D. 2. Kozlovskis R. 17. Liepnieks A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Cernovs K. ⚽, Pantelejevs K. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Johnson K. ⚽, Girgens F. (A),
18', 2 - 1, Johnson K. ⚽, Pena B. (A),
19', Zemlinskis A. ↓, Kozlovskis R. ↑,
29', 3 - 1, Pena B. ⚽, Johnson K. (A),
31', Aivars E. 🟥,
40', Sindlers L. ↓, Fedosejevs N. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Blazevics J. ↓, Kalinovs D. ↑,
52', 4 - 1, Pena B. ⚽, Johnson K. (A),
62', 5 - 1, Pena B. ⚽, Kalinovs D. (A),
63', Parkhomenko M. ↓, Ozolins R. ↑,
68', 6 - 1, Kalinovs D. ⚽, Girgens F. (A),
74', Berzins N. ↓, Liepnieks A. ↑,
74', Moskalovs A. ↓, Gegers E. ↑,
74', 6 - 2, Artjomovs K. ⚽,
75', Lanskis L. ↓, Galajevs I. ↑,
75', Sarma T. ↓, Liakhov K. ↑,
80', 7 - 2, Pena B. ⚽,
81', Cernovs K. ↓, Butlers R. ↑,
81', Ruja K. ↓, Andrejevs A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Nakotnes liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riga 2 won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Riga 2 is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Riga 2 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 34:4. (average 4.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Riga 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 6.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Riga FC 2
Latvian 1 Liga
27.09.25	Leevon PPK - Riga 2	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Riga 2 - Mārupe	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Skanstes - Riga 2	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Rēzekne - Riga 2	3:2 ✺
25.08.25	Riga 2 - JDFS Alberts	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLLL
- AFA Olaine
Latvian 1 Liga
28.09.25	Olaine - JDFS Alberts	1:6 ✺
20.09.25	Rīgas FS 2 - Olaine	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Olaine - Smiltene	3:2 ✺
23.08.25	Olaine - Augšdaugavas	3:3 ✺
08.08.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Olaine	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.4 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
25.05.25	Olaine - Riga 2	1:1
26.10.24	Riga 2 - Olaine	4:0
06.07.24	Olaine - Riga 2	1:4
07.10.23	Riga 2 - Olaine	11:2
03.06.23	Olaine - Riga 2	0:1
19.10.22	Olaine - Riga 2	0:8
13.05.22	Riga 2 - Olaine	5:0

Riga 2 - Olaine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide