Match Info

Nakotnes liga - Round 16

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Tukuma mākslīgā laukumā stadions (Tukums)


	Tukums 2000 2		Olaine

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	3.6
	1.72	3.95	3.6	Watch
	1.09	10.66	13.53	Watch
	1.71	3.94	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	5.61 ↑ (3.95)	6.14 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tukums 2000 2
65.4%

Draw
18.1%

Olaine
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

22.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22.1%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tukums 2000 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tukums 2000 2's performance.

Olaine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olaine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tukums 2000 2 than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tukums 2000 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olaine than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olaine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tukums 2000 2 - Olaine Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tukums 2000 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sturins R. (G) 16. Atligins I. 20. Dzeguze R. 25. Joksts H. 36. Kere M. 2. Kholod A. 15. Kirss R. 14. Putrans D. 8. Reingolcs R. 3. Semesko M. 32. Uzis K. (C)	1. Balodis P. (C) 27. Artjomovs K. 9. Cernovs K. 7. Fjodorovs K. 75. Gegers E. 77. Moskalovs A. 8. Pantelejevs K. 23. Pavlenko E. 5. Strupiss K. 15. Vinogradovs J. 20. Zemlinskis A.
Substitutes
64. Abolins M. 40. Grinfogels J. 12. Keziks K. (G) 30. Kolesnikovics H. 31. Maulins A. 66. Petrovskis A. 35. Romanovskis R. 34. Steponavicus R.	3. Aivars E. 35. Antipenkovs I. (G) 10. Hartmanis D. 16. Kozlovskis R. 30. Mensikovs J. 6. Osis O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Kholod A. ⚽, Putrans D. (A),
5', 2 - 0, Kholod A. ⚽,
15', 3 - 0, Putrans D. ⚽,
38', 4 - 0, Putrans D. ⚽, Kere M. (A),
44', 5 - 0, Kholod A. ⚽, Reingolcs R. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Balodis P. ↓, Antipenkovs I. ↑,
54', 6 - 0, Uzis K. ⚽,
55', 7 - 0, Joksts H. ⚽,
57', Reingolcs R. ↓, Romanovskis R. ↑,
57', Kirss R. ↓, Petrovskis A. ↑,
57', Kholod A. ↓, Maulins A. ↑,
61', 7 - 1, Cernovs K. ⚽,
65', 8 - 1, Atligins I. ⚽, Kere M. (A),
84', Kere M. ↓, Steponavicus R. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 2 won 3.

Tukums 2000 2 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Olaine is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tukums 2000 2 is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tukums 2000 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:13. (average 2.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tukums 2000 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tukums 2000 2
Latvian 1 Liga
01.08.25	Leevon PPK - Tukums 2000 2	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Mārupe	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Tukums 2000 2 - Skanstes	1:2 ✺
07.07.25	Riga 2 - Tukums 2000 2	1:0 ✺
29.06.25	Tukums 2000 2 - JDFS Alberts	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AFA Olaine
Latvian 1 Liga
03.08.25	Olaine - Ogre United	0:4 ✺
26.07.25	JFK Ventspils - Olaine	5:0 ✺
19.07.25	Olaine - Rēzekne	3:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
11.07.25	Riga Mariners - Olaine	6:1 ✺
Latvian 1 Liga
06.07.25	Leevon PPK - Olaine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian 1 Liga
14.04.25	Olaine - Tukums 2000 2	0:1
09.10.24	Olaine - Tukums 2000 2	2:2
19.04.24	Tukums 2000 2 - Olaine	2:0
02.09.23	Tukums 2000 2 - Olaine	3:1
06.05.23	Olaine - Tukums 2000 2	7:2
01.05.22	Tukums 2000 2 - Olaine	3:3

Tukums 2000 2 - Olaine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide