The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rijnvogels 63.3%
Draw 19.4%
Groene Ster 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.2%
19.4%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.2%
18.5%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rijnvogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The chances for Groene Ster have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijnvogels than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groene Ster than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Rijnvogels - Groene Ster Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
Preview
A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Tweede Divisie and 15th in the Derde Divisie (Relegation)).
Rijnvogels has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Groene Ster have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Groene Ster may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Groene Ster has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Rijnvogels carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Rijnvogels in today's match, at odds of 1.43.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Rijnvogels has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 2.5:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Rijnvogels against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.
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