Match Info

Derde Divisie - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Rijnvogels		Noordwijk

	1	X	2
	1.15	5.90	15.00	Watch
	2.16	3.52	2.85
	2.2	3.66	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.13)	4.36 ↑ (3.51)	6.93 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijnvogels
59.3%

Draw
25%

Noordwijk
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

24.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijnvogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rijnvogels's performance.

Noordwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noordwijk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijnvogels than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rijnvogels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noordwijk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rijnvogels - Noordwijk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tweede Divisie (Promotion: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Rijnvogels have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Noordwijk is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rijnvogels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rijnvogels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Including home match between the teams, Rijnvogels won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rijnvogels
Dutch Derde Divisie
28.09.25	Groene Ster - Rijnvogels	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	Rijnvogels - VV Zwaluwen	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Rijnvogels - Roosendaal	4:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.25	HSV Hoek - Rijnvogels	6:4 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
31.08.25	UNA - Rijnvogels	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTWLT
- Noordwijk
Dutch KNVB Beker
23.09.25	Noordwijk - HHC Hardenberg	0:2 ✺
Dutch Derde Divisie
20.09.25	VVSB - Noordwijk	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	UDI 19 - Noordwijk	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Blauw Geel 38 - Noordwijk	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.25	Noordwijk - Koninklijke HFC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.07.24	Rijnvogels - Noordwijk	0:3

Rijnvogels - Noordwijk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide