Match Info

Campeonato Nacional U19 - Round 16

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Rio Ave U19		Chaves U19

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.15	5.35
	1.52	4.01	5.16
	1.44	4.36	5.96
	1.6	4.16	4.94
	1.45	4.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	4.19 ↑ (4)	5.48 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave U19
61.4%

Draw
21.9%

Chaves U19
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

22.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

21.4%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Chaves U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave U19 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves U19 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Rio Ave U19 - Chaves U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: )).

Chaves U19 is Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave U19 won 4.

Recent performances by Rio Ave U19 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chaves U19 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rio Ave U19 is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave U19 won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rio Ave U19 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
14.12.25	Rio Ave U19 - Moreirense U19	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Porto U19 - Rio Ave U19	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Rio Ave U19 - Paços de Ferreira U19	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Vitoria Guimarães U19 - Rio Ave U19	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Vizela U19 - Rio Ave U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWW
- Chaves U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
13.12.25	Chaves U19 - Vitoria Guimarães U19	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Moreirense U19 - Chaves U19	2:2 ✺
01.12.25	Chaves U19 - Porto U19	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Chaves U19 - Famalicão U19	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Gil Vicente U19 - Chaves U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
20.09.25	Chaves U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:3
08.03.25	Chaves U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:2
25.01.25	Rio Ave U19 - Chaves U19	0:1
01.11.24	Rio Ave U19 - Chaves U19	3:0
07.09.24	Chaves U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:5
04.05.24	Chaves U19 - Rio Ave U19	1:1
02.03.24	Rio Ave U19 - Chaves U19	2:1

Rio Ave U19 - Chaves U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide