Match Info

Liga Next Gen U23 - Round 1

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	15:00	Canal 11


	Rio Ave U23		Moreirense U23

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.40	3.30
	1.94	3.35	3.25
	2.00	3.55	3.54
	2.27	3.51	2.9	Watch
	1.94	3.45	3.50
	1.97	3.73	3.42	Watch
	1.92	3.35	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.35)	3.32 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Ave U23
46%

Draw
26.3%

Moreirense U23
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.7%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.7%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Ave U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Moreirense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave U23 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense U23 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Rio Ave U23 - Moreirense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 0 - 1, ⚽,
73', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group: ) and 13th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).

Rio Ave U23 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Moreirense U23 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Moreirense U23 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Rio Ave U23 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Rio Ave U23	10	4	4	2	15:9	6	16
7	Moreirense U23	10	3	6	1	20:10	10	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Ave U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
29.09.26	Rio Ave U23 - Penafiel U23	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Rio Ave U23 - Braga U23	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Famalicão U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:1 ✺
08.09.26	Rio Ave U23 - Torreense U23	2:3 ✺
01.09.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Rio Ave U23	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WTWLW
- Moreirense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
19.09.26	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Moreirense U23	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Moreirense U23 - Braga U23	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Académico de Viseu U23 - Moreirense U23	1:3 ✺
01.09.26	Moreirense U23 - Portimonense U23	0:0 ✺
25.08.26	Estoril U23 - Moreirense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWTL

Rio Ave U23 - Moreirense U23