Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 9

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)


	Rio Branco AC ES		Jaguare

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.3	6.4
	1.53	3.93	5.57
	1.48	4.02	6.13	Watch
	1.49	3.7	6.34
	1.4	4.3	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.87)	4.05 ↑ (3.25)	6.17 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
62.6%

Draw
22.6%

Jaguare
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

28.1%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

26.8%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Branco AC ES's performance.

Jaguare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaguare might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Branco AC ES that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaguare than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaguare could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Branco AC ES - Jaguare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Andre Luiz (G) 26. Breninho 88. Emerson Martins 9. Jaco 6. Joao Paulo (C) 18. Lucas Daros 14. Matheus Castelo 17. Rafael Lucas 15. Romarinho 25. Theo Kruger 98. Vitinho	1. Diego (G) 19. Dougllas 5. Everson Ribeiro 2. Joao Henrique 11. Luan Freitas 13. Neguete 8. Ninho Xavier 9. Rael (C) 10. Rosiel 15. Valu 6. Vitinho
Substitutes
20. Braga 8. Bruno Silva 16. Cayo Tenorio 19. Diego Fernandes 10. Felipe Para 33. Joao Lucas 5. Junior Dinde 11. Matheus Costa 7. Onojedo T. 12. Pedro Henrique (G) 29. Renatinho 21. Ricardinho	18. Adrian 23. Alan (G) 20. Emanuel D. 4. Gabriel Firmino 12. Gustavo Baioco (G) 16. Leonardo 21. Luan Gabriel 17. Luan Miranda 7. Pablo 25. Sanny 14. Vinicinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Breninho ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucas Daros ↓, Cayo Tenorio ↑,
47', Romarinho ↓, Junior Dinde ↑,
47', Rafael Lucas ↓, Braga ↑,
60', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
74', Breninho ↓, Matheus Costa ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Jaco ⚽,
81', 3 - 0, Braga ⚽,
82', 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2).

Rio Branco AC ES is Qualified for Capixaba (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent matches Rio Branco AC ES is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jaguare is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Branco AC ES could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rio Branco AC ES is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
19.02.25	Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Capixaba SC - Rio Branco AC ES	2:4 ✺
12.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Goiás - Rio Branco AC ES	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWTL
- Jaguare EC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
18.02.25	Jaguare - Vitória ES	1:0 ✺
11.02.25	Noroeste - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Jaguare - Rio Branco-VN	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Porto Vitória - Jaguare	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Jaguare - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLLL

Rio Branco AC ES - Jaguare: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide