Match Info

BRAZIL: Capixaba - Round 7

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Kléber Andrade (Cariacica)


	Rio Branco AC ES		Vilavelhense

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.8	9.4
	1.28	4.97	9.52
	1.29	4.74	9.58	Watch
	1.26	5.5	11.2
	1.27	4.8	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.48)	4.96 ↑ (4.04)	9.82 ↑ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rio Branco AC ES
72.1%

Draw
18.5%

Vilavelhense
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

22.7%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

20.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Branco AC ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio Branco AC ES's performance.

Vilavelhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilavelhense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco AC ES than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Branco AC ES that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilavelhense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilavelhense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Branco AC ES - Vilavelhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Andre Luiz (G) 8. Bruno Silva (C) 4. Darlan 19. Diego Fernandes 2. Dudu 10. Felipe Para 6. Joao Paulo 5. Junior Dinde 7. Maranhao 14. Matheus Castelo 11. Matheus Costa	1. Robert (G) 6. Antonio Junior 9. Bruno Paixao 4. Gabriel 11. Gian Carlos 5. Henrique Marcos 10. Joao Firmino 7. Kauan Santos 2. Rickelmi 8. William 3. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
26. Breninho 88. Emerson Martins 9. Jaco 18. Lucas Daros 12. Neguete (G) 17. Rafael Lucas 29. Renatinho 21. Ricardinho 25. Theo Kruger 98. Vitinho 16. Wadson	13. Alexis 14. Douglas 15. Fellipi Marques 16. Gabriel Amorim 19. Italo 21. Keyvson 22. Maicon 18. MK 17. Peterson 12. Rafael (G) 20. Robert Ribeiro 23. Victor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Bruno Silva ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruno Silva ↓, Emerson Martins ↑,
58', Bruno Paixao ↓, Robert Ribeiro ↑,
58', Gian Carlos ↓, Peterson ↑,
58', Joao Paulo ↓, Wadson ↑,
62', Kauan Santos ↓, Italo ↑,
75', Maranhao ↓, Breninho ↑,
78', Joao Firmino ↓, Maicon ↑,
80', Dudu 🟨,
86', Felipe Para ↓, Vitinho ↑,
88', Rickelmi 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Capixaba 2 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Rio Branco AC ES is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vilavelhense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Branco AC ES could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rio Branco AC ES is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rio Branco AC ES won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Rio Branco AC ES won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Branco AC ES
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
09.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Vitória ES	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Goiás - Rio Branco AC ES	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
02.02.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Rio Branco-VN	0:0 ✺
28.01.25	Porto Vitória - Rio Branco AC ES	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLTTT
- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
09.02.25	Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	0:4 ✺
04.02.25	Vitória ES - Vilavelhense	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Vilavelhense - Nova Venécia	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Noroeste - Vilavelhense	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Vilavelhense - Jaguare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
22.05.24	Rio Branco AC ES - Vilavelhense	3:3
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
28.01.23	Vilavelhense - Rio Branco AC ES	3:0
20.03.22	Rio Branco AC ES - Vilavelhense	2:1

Rio Branco AC ES - Vilavelhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide