Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Monte Azul		Rio Branco de Americana

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.78	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.43	4.45	Watch
	1.76	3.61	4.48
	1.78	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	4.21 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Monte Azul
51%

Draw
27.3%

Rio Branco de Americana
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

27%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Rio Branco de Americana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético Monte Azul aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Branco de Americana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Gui Sales ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Brown ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', Guilherme Vieira 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 1, Cirilo ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
90+6', Jean Pablo 🟥,
90+7', Cirilo 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Monte Azul is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Rio Branco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Monte Azul is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Monte Azul won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Monte Azul won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
29.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Itapirense	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Itapirense - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Lemense FC	4:2 ✺
09.03.25	XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTWT
- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
29.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
26.03.25	Desportivo Brasil - Rio Branco de Americana	1:3 ✺
22.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Marília - Rio Branco de Americana	3:3 ✺
08.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Comercial SP	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
29.03.25	Rio Branco de Americana - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1
22.01.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Branco de Americana	1:1

Atlético Monte Azul - Rio Branco de Americana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide