Match Info

Brasileiro A2 Women - Round 11

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Rio Negro-RR		Pérolas Negras

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.91	2.43
	2.99	2.68	2.59	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.38
	2.91	3.22	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.34)	2.93 ↓ (3.5)	2.41 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Negro-RR
31.6%

Draw
30.9%

Pérolas Negras
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.2%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

24.7%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Negro-RR has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Pérolas Negras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pérolas Negras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Negro-RR than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Negro-RR that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pérolas Negras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Negro RR - Pérolas Negras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro A2 Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Rio Negro have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pérolas Negras's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rio Negro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pérolas Negras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Rio Negro Roraima Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
19.05.26	Rio Negro-RR - Ceará	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Rio Negro-RR	4:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
13.05.26	Coritiba - Rio Negro-RR	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
09.05.26	Rio Negro-RR - Taubaté	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Atlético Piauiense - Rio Negro-RR	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLWL
- Pérolas Negras Women
Brasileiro A2 Women
19.05.26	Pérolas Negras - Minas Brasília	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Doce Mel - Pérolas Negras	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Pérolas Negras - Alagoana	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil Women
07.05.26	Pérolas Negras - São João PI	1:2 penalties ✺
Brasileiro A2 Women
04.05.26	Sport Recife - Pérolas Negras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLTLT

Rio Negro-RR - Pérolas Negras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide