Match Info

Date: 11 November 2020, Wednesday


	Rio São Paulo		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	2
	3.3	2.9	2.15
	3.35	2.65	2.2
	3.2	3.2	2
	4.28	2.99	2.02
	3	3	2.3
	3.54	3.28	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (4.82)	3.04 ↓ (3.45)	2.1 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio São Paulo
26.3%

Draw
30.1%

Nova Iguaçu
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

26.3%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

15.7%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rio São Paulo's performance.

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nova Iguaçu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rio São Paulo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rio São Paulo - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Carioca B1 (Second stage to Play Offs)).

Rio São Paulo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nova Iguaçu is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rio São Paulo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nova Iguaçu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Rio São Paulo
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.11.20	Angra dos Reis - Rio São Paulo	1:1 ✺
03.11.20	Rio São Paulo - Artsul	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	São Gonçalo - Rio São Paulo	1:1 ✺
18.10.20	Rio São Paulo - Olaria	2:0 ✺
14.10.20	Audax Rio - Rio São Paulo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 TTTWW
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.11.20	Nova Iguaçu - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
04.11.20	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	1:3 ✺
31.10.20	Nova Iguaçu - Audax Rio	1:0 ✺
28.10.20	Serra Macaense - Nova Iguaçu	0:1 ✺
24.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWW

Rio São Paulo - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide