Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Risca United		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.45	1.67
	4.08	3.31	1.69
	4.32	3.6	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (4.08)	3.45 ↑ (3.31)	1.69 (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Risca United
21.4%

Draw
25.9%

Carmarthen Town
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.5%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

27.1%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Risca United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Risca United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Risca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Carmarthen Town is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Risca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Risca United
Welsh Cymru South
25.03.22	Risca United - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
11.03.22	Risca United - Trefelin	0:2 ✺
04.03.22	Llanelli - Risca United	1:1 ✺
25.02.22	Taffs Well AFC - Risca United	1:3 ✺
12.02.22	Undy Athletic - Risca United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLTWW
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
02.04.22	Carmarthen Town - Undy Athletic	4:0 ✺
26.03.22	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Carmarthen Town - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
05.03.22	Llantwit Major - Carmarthen Town	1:0 ✺
26.02.22	Swansea University - Carmarthen Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
21.09.21	Carmarthen Town - Risca United	1:0

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