Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday


	Taffs Well AFC		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (4.2)	4.2 ↓ (5.5)	1.7 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
25.7%

Draw
21.4%

Carmarthen Town
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

17.1%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

18.1%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carmarthen Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carmarthen Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
14', 0 - 1, Thomas L. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Ferreira G. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Thomas L. ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Thomas L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 4)
49', 2 - 3, Ellis L. ⚽,
53', 2 - 4, Daley N. ⚽,
57', 2 - 5, Daley N. ⚽,
59', 3 - 5, Ferreira G. ⚽,
67', 3 - 6, Thomas L. ⚽,
85', 3 - 7, Thomas L. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 0.

Taffs Well has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Carmarthen Town is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Carmarthen Town have a series of guest games.

In this match Carmarthen Town is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Taffs Well won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
15.02.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Taffs Well AFC	2:2 ✺
07.02.25	Goytre United - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	2:4 ✺
17.01.25	Taffs Well AFC - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:2 ✺
04.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLLLL
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh FA Cup
15.02.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	3:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Cambrian United - Carmarthen Town	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Llantwit Major - Carmarthen Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
04.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:0
02.03.24	Carmarthen Town - Taffs Well AFC	2:0
08.09.23	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	1:1
22.04.23	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	1:1
06.12.22	Carmarthen Town - Taffs Well AFC	1:1
26.03.22	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	2:0
10.08.21	Carmarthen Town - Taffs Well AFC	0:0

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