Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: LFF stadionas (Vilnius)

Referee: Abramavicius O. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Riteriai		Transinvest

	1	X	2
	8.3	4.75	1.29	Watch
	9.15	5.1	1.32
	8.7	5.42	1.3	Watch
	8.5	4.6	1.3
	8.12	5.14	1.33	Watch
	5.8	4.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.1 ↑ (4.65)	4.87 ↑ (3.8)	1.31 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riteriai
11.3%

Draw
18.8%

Transinvest
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

23.7%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Riteriai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Riteriai's form might have worsened.

Transinvest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Transinvest's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Riteriai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Transinvest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Riteriai - Transinvest Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Transinvest will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Moschin S. (G) 2. Bondar D. 4. Karamarko M. 32. Radenovic V. 50. Latvys M. 27. Gelombickas D. 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 10. Civilka S. 88. Yakah A. 16. Usavicius J. 11. Novikovas A. (C)	55. Bertasius M. (G) 80. Kloniunas E. 5. Sveikauskas R. (C) 33. Barauskas D. 32. Musolitin M. 7. Bosnjak D. 88. Sluta D. 13. Tanaka H. 23. Xabi Auzmendi 8. Glushach Y. 9. Milosevic S.
Substitutes
92. Andraikenas K. (G) 14. Baftalovskyi A. 35. Garapko P. 47. Gurksnys V. 17. Lipinskas D. 23. Rimpa D. 37. Sankin A. (G) 6. Sveistrys A. 20. Waruingi J. M.	70. Balnanosis D. 6. Bilbao I. 99. Jeudi S. 15. Koffi 90. Oluwatomisin A. A. 12. Petkus N. 17. Steponavicius T. 26. Tamasevicius A. 49. Tavares B. 1. Virvilas J. (G)
Coaches
Vaiciunas G.	Stankevicius M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Karamarko M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Milosevic S. ⚽,
37', Yakah A. 🟨,
42', Sveikauskas R. 🟨,
45+7', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
52', 0 - 2, Milosevic S. ⚽,
58', Civilka S. ↓, Baftalovskyi A. ↑,
58', Yakah A. ↓, Rimpa D. ↑,
62', Gelombickas D. ↓, Sveistrys A. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Kloniunas E. ⚽,
72', Xabi Auzmendi ↓, Tavares B. ↑,
72', Bosnjak D. ↓, Bilbao I. ↑,
72', Glushach Y. ↓, Jeudi S. ↑,
72', Milosevic S. ↓, Adeloye T. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Oluwatomisin A. A. ⚽, Jeudi S. (A),
77', Latvys M. ↓, Garapko P. ↑,
79', Musolitin M. ↓, Tamasevicius A. ↑,
90', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Riteriai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Transinvest has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Transinvest may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Transinvest is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Riteriai won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Transinvest	28	13	6	9	43:35	8	45
10	Riteriai ✔	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
25.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Riteriai	4:0 ✺
17.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Riteriai	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Riteriai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai	5:0 ✺
20.03.26	Riteriai - FA Šiauliai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTTLT
- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
26.04.26	FA Šiauliai - Transinvest	0:4 ✺
18.04.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Transinvest	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Transinvest - Panevėžys	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Transinvest	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Transinvest - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
01.03.26	Transinvest - Riteriai	3:0
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Transinvest - Riteriai	4:0

Riteriai - Transinvest: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide