Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 7

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Marijampole Football Arena (Marijampole)

Referee: Drungilas K. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Sūduva Marijampolė		Riteriai

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.05	7.7	Watch
	1.43	4.15	9.32
	1.36	4.87	7.81	Watch
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.4	4.63	7.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.35)	4.34 ↓ (4.57)	7.9 ↓ (8.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva Marijampolė
67%

Draw
21.3%

Riteriai
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

20.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19.2%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva Marijampolė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Riteriai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva Marijampolė than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sūduva Marijampolė, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sūduva will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Plukas I. (G) 4. Uzochukwu H. 29. Beneta M. 15. Zivanovic A. (C) 5. Baltrunas Z. 75. Stockunas E. 20. Omori Y. 8. Lawson S. 14. Steponavicius F. 10. Haydary O. 7. Seck I.	26. Moschin S. (G) 2. Bondar D. 19. Drina A. 32. Radenovic V. 3. Bulatovic V. 22. Estevez Fernandez L. 23. Rimpa D. 4. Karamarko M. 10. Civilka S. 16. Usavicius J. 11. Novikovas A. (C)
Substitutes
77. Bickauskas P. 11. Chajia M. 22. Dhouib W. 23. Grigalava R. 9. Lucky T. 66. Pacesa R. (G) 6. Sabo A. 94. Sanokho S. M. 46. Skamarakas I. 12. Zenkevicius G. (G)	92. Andraikenas K. (G) 35. Garapko P. 27. Gelombickas D. 80. Kedman M. 50. Latvys M. 17. Lipinskas D. 37. Sankin A. (G) 6. Sveistrys A. 20. Waruingi J. 88. Yakah A.
Coaches
Vencevicius D.	Mihailov G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Bulatovic V. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Haydary O. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Steponavicius F. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Radenovic V. ↓, Sveistrys A. ↑,
52', Steponavicius F. 🟨,
57', Bondar D. 🟨,
64', Haydary O. ↓, Chajia M. ↑,
64', Steponavicius F. ↓, Sabo A. ↑,
68', 3 - 0, Seck I. ⚽,
76', Seck I. ↓, Sanokho S. M. ↑,
76', Bulatovic V. ↓, Latvys M. ↑,
76', Bondar D. ↓, Kedman M. ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Chajia M. ⚽,
80', Lawson S. ↓, Grigalava R. ↑,
81', Omori Y. ↓, Lucky T. ↑,
82', Karamarko M. 🟨,
86', Civilka S. ↓, Lipinskas D. ↑,
88', 5 - 0, Lucky T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ I Lyga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 2.

Recent performances by Sūduva have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Riteriai has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sūduva is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suduva	28	13	11	4	39:25	14	50
10	Riteriai ✔	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sūduva Marijampolė
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
21.03.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Hegelmann Litauen	0:0 ✺
10.03.26	Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - Transinvest	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Sūduva Marijampolė - FA Šiauliai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLWT
- FK Riteriai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.03.26	Riteriai - FA Šiauliai	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Panevėžys - Riteriai	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Riteriai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Banga Gargždai - Riteriai	5:0 ✺
01.03.26	Transinvest - Riteriai	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
04.10.25	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:0
20.07.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai	0:0
01.06.25	Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai	4:1
01.03.25	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	3:4
12.11.23	Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai	0:3
18.08.23	Riteriai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2
10.06.23	Sūduva Marijampolė - Riteriai	0:0

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