Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 9

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio River Plate (Asunción)

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	River Plate Asunción		Encarnación

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.05	2.39
	2.97	3.05	2.34
	2.91	3.06	2.39	Watch
	2.45	3	2.75
	2.94	3.04	2.33
	2.85	3.05	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.4)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	2.43 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate Asunción
32.3%

Draw
30.1%

Encarnación
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

27.9%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate Asunción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate Asunción's form might have worsened.

Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate Asunción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

River Plate Asunción - Encarnación Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
57', 2 - 0, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, ⚽,
69', 3 - 1, ⚽,
80', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

River Plate may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate Asunción
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
13.05.25	12 de Junio - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
09.05.25	River Plate Asunción - Deportivo Capiatá	1:1 ✺
02.05.25	Guarani de Fram - River Plate Asunción	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - River Plate Asunción	3:0 ✺
22.04.25	River Plate Asunción - Rubio Ñu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTTLT
- Encarnación FC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
15.05.25	Encarnación - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Pastoreo - Encarnación	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Encarnación - Deportivo Santaní	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tacuary - Encarnación	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Encarnación - Resistencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWLT

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