Match Info
Copa Paraguay - 1/8-finalsDate: 25 September 2025, ThursdayLocation: Estadio River Plate (Asunción)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
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River Plate Asunción |
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Resistencia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.38 |
3 |
2.82 |
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 |
2.41 |
2.86 |
2.73 |
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 |
5.84 |
3.53 |
1.61 |
Watch |
 |
2.32 |
3.36 |
2.62 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.64) |
3.19 ↑
(3.14) |
2.45 ↑
(2.44) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
River Plate Asunción
29.9% | Draw
30.4% | Resistencia
39.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
River Plate Asunción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Asunción than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)River Plate Asunción - Resistencia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 31', 0 - 1, Castellano T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 82', 1 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Vera Encina R. F. (Pen),
- 1, Torres Martinez S. (Pen),
- 2, Colman J. (Pen),
- 2, Cristaldo E. (Pen),
- 3, Castellano T. (Pen),
- 3, Gonzalez M. (Pen),
- 4, Mencia R. (Pen),
- 4, Marciante L. (Pen),
- 5, Baez N. (Pen),
Preview
River Plate is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Resistencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.Including home match between the teams, River Plate won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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