Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 25

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+


	Sportivo San Lorenzo		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2	3.25	3.25
	2.02	3.25	3.27
	1.45	4.42	6.22	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.25
	2.1	3.38	3.38
	2.2	3.18	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.19)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)	3.66 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo San Lorenzo
46.7%

Draw
27.8%

Resistencia
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.8%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.9%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo San Lorenzo's performance.

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (+3%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).

Sportivo San Lorenzo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Resistencia is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Resistencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sportivo San Lorenzo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo San Lorenzo - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.55%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
25.08.25	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
21.08.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaireña	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Guarani de Fram - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Carapeguá	4:0 ✺
04.08.25	River Plate Asunción - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWWWT
- Resistencia SC
Copa Paraguay
27.08.25	Silvio Pettirossi - Resistencia	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.08.25	Guaireña - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
21.08.25	Resistencia - Sportivo Carapeguá	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Independiente Asuncion - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Resistencia - Sol de América	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.05.25	Resistencia - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1
09.09.24	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Resistencia	1:1

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