Match Info

Date: 28 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Roccella		Santa Maria Cilento

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.7	3.1	1.93
	3.86	3.24	1.93
	3.7	2.9	2
	4.32	3.09	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.05)	3.07 ↑ (2.88)	1.97 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roccella
24.1%

Draw
29.7%

Santa Maria Cilento
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.4%

31.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

22.2%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roccella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roccella's form might have worsened.

Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Maria Cilento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roccella than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roccella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Maria Cilento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Roccella - Santa Maria Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Roccella has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Maria Cilento is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santa Maria Cilento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santa Maria Cilento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Roccella won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Roccella
Italian Serie D - Group I
24.03.21	Roccella - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
17.03.21	Acireale - Roccella	6:0 ✺
14.03.21	Roccella - Rotonda	1:2 ✺
07.03.21	Roccella - Dattilo	1:2 ✺
28.02.21	San Luca - Roccella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.03.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Paternò	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	FC Messina - Santa Maria Cilento	1:0 ✺
28.02.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari	0:1 ✺
24.02.21	Rotonda - Santa Maria Cilento	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
01.11.20	Santa Maria Cilento - Roccella	2:0

Roccella - Santa Maria Cilento

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Roccella - Santa Maria Cilento Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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