Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Roces		Llanes

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.3	1.65
	4.6	3.1	1.65
	5	3.15	1.63
	4.98	3.03	1.61
	4.95	3.45	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↓ (4.98)	3.21 ↑ (3.03)	1.64 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roces
18.3%

Draw
27.7%

Llanes
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

28.6%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

23%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Llanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roces than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llanes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Roces - Llanes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Roces is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Llanes is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Roces could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Llanes is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Roces won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Roces won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Roces
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
30.01.22	LEntregu - Roces	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Roces - Covadonga	1:2 ✺
19.01.22	Lenense - Roces	1:0 ✺
15.01.22	Roces - Real Oviedo B	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	Roces - Navarro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLLTT
- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
30.01.22	Llanes - Colunga	0:0 ✺
26.01.22	Llanes - LEntregu	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Sporting de Gijón B - Llanes	2:0 ✺
09.01.22	Praviano - Llanes	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	Llanes - Covadonga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
05.05.18	Roces - Llanes	1:2
20.12.17	Llanes - Roces	3:0

Roces - Llanes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide