Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Praviano		Llanes

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.88	2.88
	2.49	2.94	3.02
	2.57	2.98	2.81	Watch
	2.45	2.75	2.9
	2.43	2.83	2.97
	2.42	2.83	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)	2.87 ↓ (3)	2.93 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Praviano
37.1%

Draw
31.8%

Llanes
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.9%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Praviano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Llanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Praviano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanes than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Praviano - Llanes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, ⚽,
86', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 1.

Praviano is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Llanes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Praviano won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Praviano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Praviano	5	1	1	3	6:8	-2	4
15	Llanes	5	0	3	2	6:12	-6	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Praviano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Sporting de Gijón B - Praviano	4:0 ✺
11.01.26	LEntregu - Praviano	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Praviano - Colunga	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Mosconia - Praviano	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Praviano - Ceares	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL
- CD Llanes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
18.01.26	Llanes - Lenense	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Llanes - San Martín	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Covadonga - Llanes	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Llanes - Avilés Stadium	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Llanera - Llanes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.09.25	Llanes - Praviano	1:1
04.02.24	Praviano - Llanes	2:1
17.09.23	Llanes - Praviano	0:0
19.03.23	Llanes - Praviano	2:2
20.11.22	Praviano - Llanes	0:1
09.01.22	Praviano - Llanes	0:0
12.09.21	Llanes - Praviano	1:2

Praviano - Llanes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide