Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Queensland - Round 20

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Rochedale Rovers		Sunshine Coast Wanderers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.7	2.5
	2.3	3.75	2.5	Watch
	2.36	4	2.58
	2.36	4.01	2.56	Watch
	2.2	3.8	2.6
	2.27	3.72	2.52
	2.3	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.88)	3.82 ↑ (3.66)	2.54 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochedale Rovers
39.8%

Draw
24%

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
36.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

24.9%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

23.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochedale Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rochedale Rovers's performance.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunshine Coast Wanderers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochedale Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rochedale Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Coast Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunshine Coast Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rochedale Rovers - Sunshine Coast Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, Roberts M. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Queensland Premier League and 9).

Rochedale Rovers has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sunshine Coast Wanderers is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rochedale Rovers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rochedale Rovers won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochedale Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochedale Rovers
Australian NPL Queensland
20.07.24	Brisbane Roar U23 - Rochedale Rovers	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Rochedale Rovers - Olympic FC	0:1 ✺
22.06.24	Peninsula Power - Rochedale Rovers	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Rochedale Rovers - Gold Coast Knights	1:2 ✺
07.06.24	Wynnum Wolves - Rochedale Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Australian NPL Queensland
25.07.24	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Wynnum Wolves	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Peninsula Power	1:3 ✺
14.07.24	Gold Coast Knights - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	4:2 ✺
22.06.24	Queensland Lions - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	4:0 ✺
16.06.24	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Redlands United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Queensland
28.04.24	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Rochedale Rovers	0:1
25.06.23	Rochedale Rovers - Sunshine Coast Wanderers	2:2
19.03.23	Sunshine Coast Wanderers - Rochedale Rovers	1:0

Rochedale Rovers - Sunshine Coast Wanderers