Match Info

Date: 7 October 2022, Friday

Location: Yantar (Moscow)


	Rodina Moscow 3		Electron Velikiy Novgorod

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.2
	1.65	3.98	4.3	Watch
	1.63	3.9	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.89 ↓ (4)	4.27 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow 3
55.5%

Draw
23.3%

Electron Velikiy Novgorod
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow 3 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Electron Velikiy Novgorod have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow 3 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Electron Velikiy Novgorod than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Rodina Moscow 3 - Electron Velikiy Novgorod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Relegation Group) and 11 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 2 (Relegation Group)).

Rodina M has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Electron is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Rodina M is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rodina M won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow 3
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
01.10.22	Luki-Energiya - Rodina Moscow 3	4:1 ✺
26.09.22	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zenit 2	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Zorkiy Krasnogorsk - Rodina Moscow 3	4:0
04.09.22	Leningradets - Rodina Moscow 3	7:0 ✺
15.08.22	Rodina Moscow 3 - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:0
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLLT
- Electron Velikiy Novgorod
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
02.10.22	Electron Velikiy Novgorod - Yenisey 2	1:1 ✺
26.09.22	Zorkiy Krasnogorsk - Electron Velikiy Novgorod	4:0 ✺
22.09.22	Electron Velikiy Novgorod - Leningradets	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Baltika 2 - Electron Velikiy Novgorod	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Electron Velikiy Novgorod - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
10.08.22	Electron Velikiy Novgorod - Rodina Moscow 3	0:0

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