Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 23

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Roma City		Matese

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.41	4.04	6.48
	1.35	4.2	7
	1.4	4.1	7.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.45)	4.14 ↑ (3.7)	6.67 ↓ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma City
64.7%

Draw
21.8%

Matese
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

24.4%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

17%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Matese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma City than the current prediction. (-21.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Roma City - Matese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma City won 1.

Recent matches Roma City is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matese is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Roma City is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Roma City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Roma City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roma City FC
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.02.24	Campobasso - Roma City	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Roma City - Termoli	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Chieti - Roma City	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Roma City - United Riccione	2:2 ✺
07.01.24	Notaresco - Roma City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTWTL
- FC Matese
Italian Serie D - Group F
04.02.24	Matese - Tivoli Calcio	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Atletico Ascoli - Matese	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Matese - Vigor Senigallia	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Campobasso - Matese	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Matese - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
15.10.23	Matese - Roma City	3:2
19.02.23	Matese - Roma City	2:1
16.10.22	Roma City - Matese	1:2
15.05.22	Matese - Roma City	2:1
22.12.21	Roma City - Matese	1:0
24.02.21	Roma City - Matese	0:1

Roma City - Matese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide