Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Atletico Ascoli		Matese

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.25	4
	1.81	3.25	3.94
	1.67	3.3	4.2
	1.79	3.32	4.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.75)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	4.09 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Ascoli
50.9%

Draw
27.2%

Matese
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

28.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

22.6%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Matese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Ascoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matese than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Atletico Ascoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Matese is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atletico Ascoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atletico Ascoli is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Ascoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.01.24	Campobasso - Atletico Ascoli	1:1 ✺
17.01.24	Chieti - Atletico Ascoli	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Atletico Ascoli - Termoli	1:2 ✺
20.12.23	United Riccione - Atletico Ascoli	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Atletico Ascoli - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TWLWT
- FC Matese
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.01.24	Matese - Vigor Senigallia	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Campobasso - Matese	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Matese - L Aquila	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Chieti - Matese	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Matese - Real Monterotondo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL

Atletico Ascoli - Matese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide