Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP F - ROUND 33

Date: 30 April 2023, Sunday


	Roma City		Pineto

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	4.9	3.2	1.7
	4.58	3.13	1.76
	4.7	3.44	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↑ (3.38)	3.22 ↑ (3.12)	1.79 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma City
20.7%

Draw
28.3%

Pineto
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

28.7%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

28.1%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roma City's form might have worsened.

Pineto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pineto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roma City than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roma City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pineto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Roma City - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Roma City won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Pineto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Roma City won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Roma City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roma City FC
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.04.23	Nuova Florida - Roma City	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Roma City - Notaresco	1:0 ✺
06.04.23	Chieti - Roma City	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Roma City - Cynthialbalonga	0:0 ✺
19.03.23	Montegiorgio - Roma City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLTW
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
23.04.23	Pineto - Porto DAscoli	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Trastevere - Pineto	2:0 ✺
06.04.23	Pineto - Tolentino	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Avezzano - Pineto	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Nuova Florida - Pineto	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
18.12.22	Pineto - Roma City	3:1
13.03.22	Pineto - Roma City	2:2
31.10.21	Roma City - Pineto	1:0
16.05.21	Roma City - Pineto	1:1
17.01.21	Pineto - Roma City	1:1
05.01.20	Roma City - Pineto	2:1

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