Match Info

Primavera 1 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Roma U20		Bologna U20

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	3.8
	2.12	3.3	2.98
	2.26	3.53	3.07
	2.17	3.59	3.03	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.07	3.34	3.14	Watch
	1.84	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.08)	3.44 ↑ (3.4)	3.22 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma U20
45%

Draw
26.6%

Bologna U20
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

26.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roma U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Bologna U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma U20 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna U20 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Roma U20 - Bologna U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bologna U20 (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. De Marzi G. (G) 23. Terlizzi F. 4. Seck M. 13. Nardin F. 2. Marchetti T. 25. Panico F. 8. Bah M. 22. Cama C. 6. Di Nunzio A. 11. Almaviva M. 9. Arena A.	1. Happonen U. (G) 19. Nesi L. 13. Francioli D. 30. Tomasevic B. 15. Papazov D. 10. Lai L. (C) 32. N’Diaye A. 8. Saputo J. 28. Negri S. 25. Toroc A. 9. Castaldo F.
Substitutes
16. Arduini G. 75. Della Rocca M. . Forte G. 3. Litti M. 77. Lulli E. 28. Maccaroni V. 76. Mirra J. 79. Morucci E. 32. Paratici L. 21. Scacchi M. 91. Zelezny R. (G)	21. Armanini F. 24. Badori K. 22. Franceschelli M. (G) 34. Gnudi R. (G) 38. Jaku J. 42. Libra M. 43. Lo Monaco L. 16. Nordvall O. 31. Pantaleoni G. M. 14. Ravaglioli T. 17. Tupec L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Francioli D. ↓, Tupec L. ↑,
15', Terlizzi F. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Marchetti T. ⚽,
45+2', Arena A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Castaldo F. ⚽,
58', 🟨,
59', Toroc A. ↓, Lo Monaco L. ↑,
59', Tupec L. ↓, Jaku J. ↑,
60', Terlizzi F. ↓, Mirra J. ↑,
60', Almaviva M. ↓, Maccaroni V. ↑,
81', Marchetti T. ↓, Lulli E. ↑,
81', Di Nunzio A. ↓, Arduini G. ↑,
86', Jaku J. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Lo Monaco L. ⚽,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Roma U20 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Roma U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Roma U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Roma U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AS Roma U20	5	3	2	0	9:5	4	11
6	Bologna U20	5	3	0	2	12:12	0	9

Last Results with these Odds

Roma U20 - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.6%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma U20
Italian Primavera 1
15.05.26	Verona U20 - Roma U20	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Roma U20 - Sassuolo U20	0:0 ✺
01.05.26	Cremonese U20 - Roma U20	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Lazio U20 - Roma U20	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Roma U20 - Napoli U20	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWWT
- Bologna U20
Italian Primavera 1
15.05.26	Cremonese U20 - Bologna U20	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Bologna U20 - Cagliari U20	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Inter U20 - Bologna U20	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Bologna U20 - Genoa U20	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Napoli U20 - Bologna U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
26.01.26	Roma U20 - Bologna U20	2:3
02.11.25	Bologna U20 - Roma U20	0:1
30.03.25	Bologna U20 - Roma U20	2:4
31.08.24	Roma U20 - Bologna U20	2:1

Roma U20 - Bologna U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide