Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	13:00	Sportitalia
Switzerland	13:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Roma U20		Napoli U20

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.7	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	3.7 (3.7)	3.8 (3.8)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roma U20
51.4%

Draw
24.6%

Napoli U20
24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

20.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Roma U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Napoli U20 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma U20 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roma U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napoli U20 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napoli U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Marzi G. (G) 76. Mirra J. 74. Seck M. 13. Nardin F. 2. Marchetti T. 6. Di Nunzio A. 8. Bah M. 3. Litti M. 28. Maccaroni V. 7. Della Rocca M. 68. Arena A.	22. Ferrante M. (G) 33. Caucci A. 5. Gambardella V. 6. Garofalo C. 97. Olivieri A. 8. De Chiara E. 14. Prisco V. 36. Lo Scalzo L. 11. Smeraldi A. 30. Camelio U. 9. Raggioli C.
Substitutes
11. Almaviva M. 16. Arduini G. 17. Belmonte S. 22. Cama C. 33. Carlaccini S. 70. Forte G. 12. Kilvinger L. (G) 27. Lulli E. 25. Panico F. 32. Paratici L. 23. Terlizzi F.	60. Barido F. 10. Borriello S. 4. Cimmaruta A. 2. Colella R. 3. De Luca A. 70. Genovese M. 7. Nardozi M. 12. Pugliese C. (G) 95. Spinelli D. (G) 25. Torre C.

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Primavera 1 (Play Out: )).

Roma U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Napoli U20 is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Roma U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Roma U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AS Roma U20	8	3	4	1	13:10	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Roma U20 - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 51.44%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Roma U20
Italian Primavera 1
04.04.26	Atalanta U20 - Roma U20	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Roma U20 - Monza U20	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Roma U20 - Parma U20	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Roma U20 - Milan U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTTLW
- Napoli U20
Italian Primavera 1
06.04.26	Lazio U20 - Napoli U20	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Napoli U20 - Genoa U20	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Napoli U20 - Sassuolo U20	5:2 ✺
03.03.26	Monza U20 - Napoli U20	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Milan U20 - Napoli U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
05.10.25	Napoli U20 - Roma U20	0:2

Roma U20 - Napoli U20