Match Info

Toppserien Women - Round 17

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Koteng Arena (Trondheim)

Referee: Jensen K. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay


	Rosenborg		Fortuna Ålesund

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.60	3.00
	2.08	3.35	2.90
	1.99	4.01	3.49
	2.06	3.75	2.98	Watch
	1.82	3.95	3.45
	1.97	3.88	3.31	Watch
	1.90	3.60	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.77)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)	3.19 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
46.7%

Draw
24.6%

Fortuna Ålesund
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosenborg's form might have worsened.

Fortuna Ålesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Ålesund than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortuna Ålesund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rosenborg - Fortuna Ålesund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulyte R. (G) 29. Fuglas M. 31. Buberg A. 4. Aunehaugen S. (C) 30. Kokosz M. 22. Nilsen C. 15. Marcussen B. 14. Fuglem O. 10. Reeves J. 19. Holum R. 23. Sodahl K.	1. Erichsen T. (G) 2. Helgesen S. 3. Muri M. (C) 14. Luthcke C. 13. Saeteroy M. 10. Gashi L. 11. Kroken I. 23. Loennecken T. 7. Nodland I. 9. Sunde K. 8. Skretting I.
Substitutes
16. Berre I. 6. Dirdal I. 24. Krog H. (G) 27. Magnusdottir S. 11. Nergard C. 8. Nyberg A. 7. Rogde M. 44. Svanes K. 25. Vik M.	21. Aurbekkholen H. 32. Blindheim E. 22. Drozdzik A. 28. Fiskerstrand Aasen N. 6. Gudnadottir D. 17. Haheim N. 16. Renolen R. 24. Smith M. 20. Solskjaer K.
Coaches
Shroot R.	Lindmark M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Kroken I. 🟨,
20', Reeves J. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Fuglem O. ⚽,
35', Nodland I. 🟨,
40', Fuglas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Fuglas M. ↓, Nyberg A. ↑,
51', Luthcke C. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Sunde K. ⚽, Skretting I. (A),
63', Nodland I. ↓, Blindheim E. ↑,
64', Holum R. ↓, Berre I. ↑,
64', Nilsen C. ↓, Dirdal I. ↑,
70', Gashi L. ↓, Haheim N. ↑,
78', Sodahl K. ↓, Vik M. ↑,
89', Helgesen S. ↓, Gudnadottir D. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification: ) and 2nd).

In recent outings, Rosenborg has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fortuna Ålesund is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Rosenborg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Rosenborg holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Rosenborg has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:2 (averaging 2:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rosenborg against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Aalesund W	18	14	2	2	44:17	27	44
3	Rosenborg W	18	11	5	2	33:20	13	38

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg Women
UEFA Europa Cup Women
23.09.26	Slovan Liberec - Rosenborg	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
17.09.26	Rosenborg - Stabæk	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Haugesund - Rosenborg	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Cup Women
02.09.26	Rosenborg - SeaSters Odesa	3:0 ✺
26.08.26	SeaSters Odesa - Rosenborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWL
- Fortuna Ålesund
Norwegian Toppserien Women
20.09.26	Fortuna Ålesund - Molde	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Bodø Glimt - Fortuna Ålesund	0:2 ✺
Norwegian Cup Women
06.09.26	Brann - Fortuna Ålesund	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Toppserien Women
31.08.26	Hønefoss - Fortuna Ålesund	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Fortuna Ålesund - Haugesund	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Toppserien Women
24.04.26	Fortuna Ålesund - Rosenborg	1:0
Norwegian Cup Women
15.06.22	Fortuna Ålesund - Rosenborg	1:2
Club Friendly Women
26.02.22	Rosenborg - Fortuna Ålesund	4:0

Rosenborg - Fortuna Ålesund: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide