Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 18

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Lerkendal Stadion (Trondheim)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rosenborg		Viking Stavanger

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.60	3.00
	2.12	3.7	3.15
	2.2	3.88	3.28
	2.2	3.85	2.95	Watch
	2.14	3.75	3.2
	2.2	3.8	2.99	Watch
	2.12	3.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.61)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	3.09 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosenborg
44%

Draw
25.4%

Viking Stavanger
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

24.1%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

23.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rosenborg's performance.

Viking Stavanger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viking Stavanger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rosenborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking Stavanger than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viking Stavanger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Viking will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 22. Svensson J. (C) 4. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 17. Bomholt M. 10. Selnaes O. 29. Duris D. 35. Ceide E. K. 18. Chiakha A. 11. Sahsah N.	1. Ostbo A. (G) 18. Bjorshol S. (C) 6. Stensness G. 25. Falchener H. 24. Auklend V. 7. Askildsen K. 29. Moi T. 2. Haugen H. J. 16. Alte R. 20. Christiansen P. 17. Austbo E.
Substitutes
25. Bakke J. 3. Dahl T. 15. Mortensen J. 14. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 28. Slordal E. 30. Soboczynski M. 5. Volden H. 16. Witry A. F.	30. Belko L. (G) 8. Bell J. 23. Fuglestad N. 28. Haugen K. 5. Heggheim H. 26. Kvia-Egeskog S. 11. Postema R. 10. Tripic Z. 3. Vevatne V.
Coaches
Alexandersson F.	Jensen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ceide E. K. ⚽, Chiakha A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Duris D. ↓, Witry A. F. ↑,
59', Sahsah N. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
62', Falchener H. ↓, Heggheim H. ↑,
62', Bjorshol S. ↓, Kvia-Egeskog S. ↑,
62', Alte R. ↓, Tripic Z. ↑,
72', Haugen H. J. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
79', Pereira A. ↓, Dahl T. ↑,
79', Ceide E. K. ↓, Reitan-Sunde J. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Christiansen P. ⚽, Tripic Z. (A),
84', Austbo E. ↓, Postema R. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Chiakha A. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 1.

In recent matches, Rosenborg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Viking is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Rosenborg: Fossum I. (Thigh Injury) Islamovic D. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Viking: Baertelsen A. (Foot Injury) Berisha V. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Rosenborg: Svensson J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Viking: Bell J. (Leg Injury) Falchener H. (Thigh Injury) Haugen K. (Injury) Roseth M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 38:35. (average 1.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:4. (average 2.9:0.5).

Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now

Viking: 40.47% Rosenborg: 0.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Viking	22	17	2	3	56:20	36	53
5	Rosenborg	22	10	4	8	40:31	9	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosenborg BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
09.08.26	Lillestrøm SK - Rosenborg	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Brann - Rosenborg	3:2 ✺
27.07.26	Rosenborg - Fredrikstad	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
24.07.26	Rosenborg - Manchester United	0:5 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.07.26	Start - Rosenborg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW
- Viking Stavanger FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
08.08.26	Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Start - Viking Stavanger	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Aalesunds - Viking Stavanger	1:1 ✺
22.07.26	Lillestrøm SK - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Viking Stavanger - Sandefjord	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
01.05.26	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	3:0
31.08.25	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	2:1
28.06.25	Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger	1:1
Club Friendly
16.03.25	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	3:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
18.08.24	Rosenborg - Viking Stavanger	2:1
30.06.24	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	4:2
Club Friendly
24.03.24	Viking Stavanger - Rosenborg	5:0

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