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Current Win Probability
Lillestrøm SK 38.3%
Draw 26.5%
Rosenborg 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
24.9%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
25.7%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillestrøm SK's form might have worsened.
Rosenborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rosenborg's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm SK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rosenborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.9%
11.8%
35.3%
Lillestrøm SK - Rosenborg Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 29.2% – 76.6%.
12. Dahlberg P. (G) 2. Ranger L. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 47. Kristiansen S. 11. Elkaer F. 29. Ibrahimaj Y. 7. Alperud L. 18. Krygard K. 14. Nyheim G. 20. Felix Va 10. Olsen T.
1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 22. Svensson J. (C) 4. Ceide M. K. 21. Nemcik T. 19. Pereira A. 11. Sahsah N. 10. Selnaes O. 17. Bomholt M. 29. Duris D. 18. Chiakha A. 35. Ceide E. K.
Substitutes
25. Akanji S. 5. Foss S. 77. Gulbrandsen F. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 22. Kitolano J. 15. Nordh G. 3. Ottesen S. 26. Paintsil Y. 6. Woxen H.
25. Bakke J. 3. Dahl T. 15. Mortensen J. 14. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G) 28. Slordal E. 30. Soboczynski M. 5. Volden H. 16. Witry A. F.
Coaches
Odegaard H.
Alexandersson F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Svensson J. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Sahsah N. ⚽, Chiakha A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Svensson J. ↓, Witry A. F. ↑,
61', Sahsah N. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
62', Olsen T. ↓, Gulbrandsen F. ↑,
62', Chiakha A. 🟨,
69', Duris D. 🟨,
71', Pereira A. ↓, Dahl T. ↑,
74', Nemcik T. 🟨,
74', Krygard K. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
74', Alperud L. ↓, Nordh G. ↑,
84', Dahl T. 🟨,
88', Ceide E. K. ↓, Reitan-Sunde J. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Chiakha A. ⚽, Bomholt M. (A),
90+4', Woxen H. 🟨,
90+6', Bomholt M. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Rosenborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Rosenborg: Fossum I.
(Thigh Injury)
Islamovic D.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Lillestrøm: Garnas E. B.
(Injury)
Jebara C.
(Injury)
Kitolano E.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Rosenborg: Chiakha A.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:36. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).
Finland
Norway
Usa
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Dahlberg P. (G) 
Ranger L. 
Elkaer F. 
Ibrahimaj Y. 
Felix Va 
Nemcik T. 
Chiakha A. 
Akanji S. 
Alexandersson F. 
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