The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 08 40%
Draw 25%
Rosenborg 35.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.8%
25.2%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 32. Wichne E. 4. Utvik B. (C) 24. Rosted S. 20. Reinhardsen P. 10. Sorli S. 8. Christiansen S. 77. Skarsem O. 17. Williams N. 33. Nibe A. 11. Karlsbakk D.
1. Wahlstedt L. (G) 16. Witry A. F. 4. Ceide M. K. 23. Mampassi M. 19. Pereira A. 11. Sahsah N. 17. Bomholt M. 22. Svensson J. (C) 6. Kjolo M. 30. Soboczynski M. 35. Ceide E. K.
Substitutes
7. Camil Mmaee 50. Eidal M. M. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 21. Hiim A. 5. Hoyland L. 1. Larsen J. (G) 2. Lode M. 12. Niyukuri C. 6. Sher A.
20. Borgersen A. 3. Dahl T. 8. Fossum I. 9. Islamovic D. 15. Mortensen J. 14. Reitan-Sunde J. 12. Sandberg R. (G)
Coaches
Sel E.
Alexandersson F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Witry A. F. ⚽,
34', Kjolo M. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Pereira A. ⚽, Witry A. F. (A),
43', Christiansen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Reinhardsen P. ↓, Sher A. ↑,
46', Nibe A. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,
57', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
60', Wichne E. ↓, Niyukuri C. ↑,
61', Sahsah N. ↓, Reitan-Sunde J. ↑,
61', Soboczynski M. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
65', Bomholt M. 🟨,
68', Christiansen S. ↓, Halvorsen V. E. ↑,
70', Pereira A. ↓, Dahl T. ↑,
70', Kjolo M. ↓, Fossum I. ↑,
81', Islamovic D. ↓, Mortensen J. ↑,
82', Williams N. ↓, Camil Mmaee ↑,
83', Mortensen J. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 3, Mortensen J. ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 2.
Sarpsborg has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Rosenborg is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Rosenborg could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sarpsborg has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:33 (averaging 1.8:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sarpsborg against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:14 goals (averaging 1.9:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Rosenborg
24
12
4
8
46:31
15
40
7
Sarpsborg 08
24
8
7
9
30:35
-5
31
Last Results with these Odds
Rosenborg - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Norway
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Oy L. (G) 
Williams N. 
Nibe A. 
Mampassi M. 
Soboczynski M. 
Camil Mmaee 
Niyukuri C. 
Sher A. 
Islamovic D. 
Alexandersson F. 
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